It's the Oil Shale, Stupid

On October 1st a long-standing ban on the commercial development of oil shale on federal lands expired. That means America is now on the edge of an abyss, about to take the plunge into an endless fossil future. The steady march toward this awful future of extended oil addiction is a fact hidden in plain view.

It is a march being aided and abetted by half a billion dollars of oil and coal lobby money, by the recent votes of both Democrats and Republicans in Congress, and by a media more lap dog than watchdog. Though unintended, even all the campaign talk about a clean energy economy is serving to obscure this clear and present danger.

Oil shale is one of the dirtiest fossil fuels known to man. Its extraction releases two to five times more greenhouse gases than conventional crude oil, and uses vast amounts of water. In Western lands where oil shale deposits are abundant, water is already in scarce supply.

America's energy and climate future will be determined by what the nation decides to do with its deposits of oil shale. There are as much as 1.8 trillion barrels of oil locked up in shale deposits in Colorado, Utah and Wyoming. There's more oil in the shale than there ever was in Saudi Arabia. It's value? More than half a trillion dollars over a 25-year period. It's the most important energy issue there is, and almost no one is talking about it.

Here's what you have to do to extract oil shale. Oil workers start by constructing a five foot thick wall around a 1000-foot square foot cube of the Earth. They drill deep holes into the cube at 25 foot intervals and insert massive electric heating coils. The coils are turned on and left on continuously for two or more years at 650 degrees F. Finally, the oil slides out of the shale. You've heard of electric cars? This is electric oil.

If oil shale gets developed, the nation and the globe will be sent on a path to an endless fossil future and a steep acceleration of global warming pollution. Forget clean energy. It will be lights out, game over.

The Bush-Cheney administration has been working for eight years to open federal lands -- where the oil shale rests -- to oil companies, and they are on the brink of success. That means that the only thing standing in the way of an endless fossil future is the next president. John McCain has already voiced his staunch support for development of these resources. But the Republican machine, and a pliant media, have managed to focus the nation on a distraction: offshore oil, even though there's only a small puddle of the stuff. Offshore, we'll get 1.2% of US oil supply twenty years from now.

The oil industry has almost secured rights to federal lands where the oil shale is. Without firing a shot, they purchased the regime at home. Then they pulled the wool over America's eyes, using the most effective propaganda tools money can buy from the public relations industry. While hollering about offshore oil, they uttered precious little about oil shale itself, and absolutely nothing about how its oil is extracted. So when the ban on offshore oil drilling expired, no one noticed that the ban on oil shale development expired, too.

So Congress has now allowed the door to swing open to "develop" almost two million acres of oil shale deposits. It has granted permission to the oil industry to initiate a cube-by-cube boiling of the earth itself, the consumption of every last drop of water in the Colorado basin and the unconscionable acceleration of global warming pollution.

This diabolical outcome -- worthy of a cackling criminal mastermind in a James Bond thriller -- has been in the making since early in the Bush-Cheney administration's first term. An overt federal program for oil shale development emerged into public view in the Energy Act of 2005 -- in Section 369 -- which required the Department of the Interior to develop a commercial leasing program for oil shale. The Department is about to issue a final development plan.
Since Congress has dutifully provided the kicker by allowing the oil shale moratorium to expire, the leasing plan can now move forward. The administration's simultaneous orchestration of these two final oil policy movements is the culmination of years of effort, a chilling parting legacy.

The only factor still remaining in the way of an endless fossil future is the next President. The oil shale leasing program will be under his control, and so the upcoming election presents voters with yet another fateful choice.

It is clear what another Republican administration will bring. Last June, Senator McCain unveiled his energy plan and called for offshore drilling and oil shale development. Since then, contributions to his campaign from the oil industry have soared.

For his part, Senator Obama has refused oil money. His stance on Alberta's tar sands – a dirty fuel very much like oil shale – remains "an open question," much to the dismay of the Canadian government, but so far, he has been silent on oil shale. Senator Obama would do well to clarify his stance on oil shale development, and offer voters a crystal clear alternative to the endless fossil future, which is closer than anybody cares to admit.

Oil shale is the energy story of the century. It is the policy crossroads. If the nation continues on the path prepared by Bush-Cheney and embraced by McCain-Palin, it leads to an endless fossil future. That's the key story, the key choice.

All the rest is commentary.

Related Story

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New Report Caculates Shale Oil's Enormous Carbon Footprint

 


oil sands

The only way we can stop this is to shout it loud and clear BEFORE the election. Let everyone you know in the state of Colorado, Wyoming, Utah that their future could mean the choice of water or oil, if it uses the amount that is required to produce. Oil is a disgusting and dirty industry. It's IN the earth for a reason, that's where it belongs! If Mother Earth wanted the oil to be on the surface, it would be. Could it be that the earth is warming from the inside because the insulation and the glue (oil) from the fire of the inner earth are no longer there because we have extracted it? Could this be a reason for the numerous earthquakes, where plates are shifting? We have been extracting this gue for 100+ years. Don't you think that at some point it would have an effect on the outer earth? We should be suing the Bush Administration for ALL the disastrous things his presidency has produced and then put him in jail where he belongs. We must make every effort to make sure McSame does not get in. I am afraid they will try and steal the election again. There are more Democrats than Republicans overall. 3-1. And MANY more have left the Republican party. Statistically they should not win, but they may corrupt the machines. If McCain wins this would be how.

it's the system, sisters and brothers!

one the one hand it's extremely complicated, deep, unfamiliar, disturbing: http://www.zeitgeistmovie.com/main.htm , http://www.zen-occidental.net/articles1/loy4.html

on the other it's extremely simple:

1. look at your children
2. imagine someone is messing with them and
3. imagine/know that you are able, powerful to do something about it
4. feel the love, commitment, focus, drive to serve their interest
5. the powers that be have no chance to stop people endowned with 4

6. know that your child lives on this planet with all other children, of all species and that all parents love them
7. educate yourself to see how your child and all children are being screwed by the usual suspects

8. publicly, collectively demand a reversal of the burden of proof, as to why things that serve our children can' be financed, supported, endorsed, shown on prime time
9. start with some potent, worthy, affordable, doable, green collar jobs generating, sustainable, planet benign, dependency decreasing ways to pursue:
- http://213.133.109.5/wb/pages/konferenz/wirtschaft/10000-solar-gigawatts...
- http://transitionculture.org/
- http://solveclimate.com/blog/20080724/former-intel-chief-america-convert...

What stops this; what stops us?
Is it that complicated?

Emil Möller
Netherlands

Great Links

Mr. Moller - the links to the "deep, unfamiliar and disturbing" are quite useful. I intend to watch the film in entirety. It strikes me that when people ask what can I do (to help solve climate change), instead of proposing changing light bulbs or some other external action, exploration of a more fundamental internal effort might be more useful. Or actually, perhaps both.

Scary.

I always like your writing, David, but this one is spine chilling.

Given Obama's consistent clean energy Senate vote history, (he voted the same way as Barbara Boxer on clean energy every time), while McCain's votes were the same as Inhofes on 42 of 44 Inhofe votes: (the other two, it was Inhofe, yes- Inhofe! who crossed the aisle twice to vote with Boxer - once to stop wind NIMBYs, and the other time on the 2005 clean and dirty energy bill that both Obama and Boxer voted yes on - for the clean part). --so given Obama's voting, I doubt he would suddenly turn around and start pushing tar sands/oil shale.

But if we could get 8 more Democrats in the Senate, then we could pass "clean" clean energy bills with no shiny ornaments to attract fossil-fueled votes.

Executive Branch is Key

This oil shale game is now in the hands of the next President. Industry just needs leases from the Bureau of Land Management to proceed. They don't need sweeteners from Congress. The next president determines if and how leases get written for oil shale on federal lands from the controlling federal agency under executive branch control.

Oil Shale Means High Prices

You only forgot one thing in your otherwise fine article. Oil from shale is a very expensive process, and if the oil companies really want it so badly, it's because they expect the price of oil to rise. They haven't even considered shale a viable source until the prices for a barrel of oil soared.

Watch the price of oil. It will likely rise immediately after the election and remain high in my opinion. If McCain's elected, the price will rise dramatically, because the oil companies won't have to worry as much about competition driving down demand.

This is very bad news indeed. But I have faith that the American public and the competitors will continue the fight.

We're Already There

DOE's Office of Petroleum Reserves estimates that oil shale will provide a 15% rate of return "at sustained average world oil prices above $54 per barrel." That's if they extract the oil from surface retorting plants.

If they use the "in situ" process -- boiling the earth with giant electric coils -- extraction becomes economic above $35 a barrel.

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